The system contracts for the immediate period have fallen fairly substantially in the last week. The contract for October this year has fallen by just over 8%, and the Q4 contract has dropped by around 6%. The coming year contract, however, has fallen only by just over 1%. This must be viewed in light of the German year contract for 2019 having climbed by more than 13% during the same period. The explanation for this can predominantly be found in the fact that the weather forecasts have become much wetter in the last week, and the fact that the hydro-balance forecast has therefore experienced a significant upward adjustment.
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The energy markets have experienced a week of further price falls, and the otherwise steadily climbing carbon emissions market has shown that the higher the climb, the further there is to fall, and the fall could be significant.